Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 254.763925 287.387942 323.598933 366.951774 417.678795 475.439071 546.588265
2025-05-11 200.845308 242.272448 292.268353 357.734903 442.217537 548.981566 696.405978
2025-05-18 171.685483 215.935895 272.239625 350.385210 458.056076 604.275193 823.385944
2025-05-25 157.359303 205.012651 268.438959 361.037013 496.260566 692.319419 1009.504072
2025-06-01 142.682082 191.189402 258.134874 360.001950 516.154239 755.542172 1169.659716
2025-06-08 129.189489 177.194246 245.483027 353.104805 525.113095 802.024099 1310.734069
2025-06-15 119.967499 168.159248 238.687999 353.604498 544.806955 867.716626 1497.717158
2025-06-22 110.095544 157.128816 227.612239 345.728922 549.128945 907.222739 1644.132744
2025-06-29 103.092872 149.733091 221.262615 344.501733 564.128944 967.417502 1844.300177
2025-07-06 94.213694 138.682767 208.105954 330.316183 554.046849 978.841400 1944.530180
2025-07-13 91.751469 137.487730 210.606432 343.110949 594.750490 1095.147066 2306.360189
2025-07-20 89.778550 136.868333 213.908642 357.551502 640.471024 1229.961338 2752.363002
2025-07-27 85.347998 131.990942 209.786300 358.362906 660.247438 1315.220504 3106.637509
2025-08-03 79.688393 124.667311 200.865689 349.267159 658.610916 1352.769443 3346.124980
2025-08-10 74.891724 118.467122 193.404637 342.146618 660.061845 1397.652382 3622.219816
2025-08-17 73.076967 117.269781 194.771589 352.488025 700.976873 1546.607404 4274.733548
2025-08-24 69.827225 113.315734 190.758642 351.483258 716.141975 1633.652450 4762.821008
2025-08-31 66.099920 108.267830 184.322080 344.785965 717.086068 1683.284188 5141.844420
2025-09-07 63.572698 105.223540 181.434992 345.271210 735.269602 1784.414520 5760.836826
2025-09-14 60.259155 100.541616 175.069411 337.622859 732.374881 1824.776622 6159.376666
2025-09-21 57.931884 97.549707 171.785176 336.430972 745.664074 1916.432810 6823.922069
2025-09-28 54.369110 92.056756 163.218134 322.651400 724.578296 1898.196070 6989.052068
2025-10-05 53.849009 92.277254 166.059770 335.080161 774.734876 2118.620663 8422.048975